Fengcheng interrupts tuberculosis prevention and treatment plan, fearing 1.4 million more deaths in 2025

Fengcheng interrupts tuberculosis prevention and treatment plan, fearing 1.4 million more deaths in 2025
May 6, 2020 No Comments News customwar.com

According to a new research report released today, the global closure of cities caused by the Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19) in 2019 may lead to a serious increase in tuberculosis cases, with nearly 1.4 million more deaths by 2025.

In view of the slowdown of the epidemic, the Spanish government is expected to relax the closure measures.  Xinhua News Agency
In view of the slowdown of the epidemic, the Spanish government is expected to relax the closure measures. 
Xinhua News Agency

Tuberculosis is the number one killer of infectious diseases in the world. It is a disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection. It generally attacks the lungs of patients and is roughly treatable, but about 10 million people are still infected each year.

According to the World Health Organization (WHO), about 1.5 million people died of tuberculosis in 2018, including more than 200,000 children. Since the advent of effective drugs, the global focus on tuberculosis prevention and control has shifted to screening and treating as many patients as possible.

However, as countries implement a foot ban in order to prevent coronavirus diseases in 2019, the new disease model shows that maintaining social distance may lead to a serious relapse of the TB infection epidemic, and the consequences will continue for several years.

This is because, while maintaining social distance, medical staff cannot screen vulnerable groups and patients cannot obtain ongoing treatment.

Lucica Ditiu, executive director of the Stop TB Partnership, said: “Despite the availability of medicines and therapies … we have not stopped tuberculosis, tuberculosis is still the number one killer of infectious diseases.”

Di Tiu said: “Coronavirus diseases in 2019 will hit us hard. The more people without diagnosis and treatment, the more complicated the problems will be in the next few years.”

Agence France-Presse reported that the model developed in collaboration with epidemiologists at Imperial College London uses tuberculosis prevention data in three high-incidence countries, India, Kenya and Ukraine.

According to the model, the global closure of the city for two months, coupled with the implementation of rapid recovery measures in response to the plan, may cause more than 1.8 million people to be infected with tuberculosis globally in the next five years, and 340,000 people are expected to die.

However, if countries do not quickly re-screen and treat, the model shows that the situation will become worse. For example, a three-month closure of the city plus a 10-month “recovery” period may lead to an additional 6 million infections and 1.4 million deaths from tuberculosis by 2025.

Nimalan Arinaminpathy, associate professor of mathematics and epidemiology at Imperial College London, said: “Tuberculosis is actually curable with affordable drugs, so the prevention and control work in recent decades has actually focused on the diagnosis of cases as soon as possible . “

He said: “Measures such as the closure of the coronavirus have affected the tuberculosis prevention and treatment system. In fact, (according to the model) it will take many years to reduce the already increased burden of tuberculosis to pre-closing levels.”

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